Alex Grasso vs Natalia Silva

Former champion Alexa Grasso faces the surging Brazilian contender Natalia Silva. Grasso, renowned for her technical striking and resilience, aims to reclaim her position atop the division. Conversely, Silva, riding a 12-fight win streak, seeks to solidify her status as a top contender. 

Profiles:

Alexa Grasso is a Mexican mixed martial artist known for her crisp boxing and tactical approach. With a professional record of 16 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw, Grasso made history as the first Mexican woman to win a UFC title and continues to be a formidable force in the flyweight division.​

Quick Stats:

• Nationality: Mexican

• Age: 31

• Height: 5'5"

• Reach: 66 inches

• Team: Lobo Gym MMA

• Stance: Orthodox

• MMA Record: 16 wins, 4 losses, 1 draw

• UFC Record: 8 wins, 4 losses, 1 draw​

Natalia Silva is a Brazilian mixed martial artist known for her dynamic striking and submission skills. Holding a professional record of 18 wins, 5 losses, and 1 draw, she has demonstrated her prowess with a combination of knockouts and submissions. Silva is currently on a 12-fight win streak, making her one of the most formidable contenders in the flyweight division.​

Quick Stats:

• Nationality: Brazilian

• Age: 28

• Height: 5'4"

• Reach: 65 inches

• Team: Team Borracha

• Stance: Southpaw

• MMA Record: 18 wins, 5 losses, 1 draw

• UFC Record: 6 wins, 0 losses​

Core Stats Comparison

Offensive Breakdown:

Alexa Grasso enters this matchup looking to maintain her position among the flyweight elite, but she faces a rising challenge in Natalia Silva — a fighter currently riding a wave of momentum. On paper, Silva holds the edge in striking, landing more significant strikes per minute (5.19 to Grasso’s 4.19) with better accuracy (48% vs. 42%).

While both fighters have relatively low takedown and submission averages within the UFC, Grasso has reported more instances of grappling throughout her UFC career. She holds a 40% takedown accuracy and attempts 0.65 submissions per 15 minutes, compared to Silva’s 25% takedown rate and zero recorded submission attempts(in the UFC). Silva does hold 7 submission wins in other promotions so this is a stat that may come alive in this match.

Defense Breakdown:

Silva shines defensively, boasting a 65% striking defense rate and absorbing just 2.35 significant strikes per minute — a clear advantage over Grasso’s 58% defense and 3.69 strikes absorbed per minute. Her ability to control range and avoid damage makes her one of the more elusive fighters in the division. Silva has 92% takedown defense which can imply this fight will play out on the feet.

Summary:

Natalia Silva enters this matchup with a edge in striking accuracy, higher output, better defensive numbers, and an elite 92% takedown defense. On paper, she looks like the more efficient and elusive striker.

However, Alexa Grasso carries valuable championship experience, having faced — and defeated — elite talent like Valentina Shevchenko. The pivotal question is whether Grasso can draw on that top-tier experience and mix in her grappling effectively to disrupt Silva’s rhythm.