Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes

A seasoned striker meets a surging newcomer as Dustin Jacoby faces off against Bruno Lopes in a light heavyweight clash. Jacoby, known for his knockout power, aims to halt the momentum of Lopes, who is riding a three-fight win streak. 

Core Stats Comparison

**Lopes is 32 years of age

***This analysis does not include stats from DWCS/TUF/Road to UFC. Lopes has 2 DWCS appearances and Jacoby has 1 appearance.

Striking Breakdown:

This matchup between Bruno Lopes and Dustin Jacoby presents an intriguing clash of styles. While Lopes has limited UFC data, his 47% striking accuracy actually edges out Jacoby’s 46%. That said, Jacoby’s superior striking defense at 58% (compared to Lopes' 54%) gives him a slight edge on the feet.

Where Jacoby truly separates himself is in volume and efficiency: he lands 5.36 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.32, giving him a positive differential. Lopes, in contrast, lands just 2.2 significant strikes per minute and absorbs 2.07, nearly breaking even. Expect Jacoby to have the upper hand in extended striking exchanges.

Grappling Breakdown:

Grappling could be the X-factor here. Lopes has shown strong wrestling intent, attempting a whopping 2.68 takedowns per 15 minutes with 36% accuracy and a perfect 100% takedown defense so far. He attempted 14 takedowns in his UFC debut — a clear signal he’s ready to wrestle.

Jacoby, on the other hand, offers little grappling threat. He owns just a 20% takedown accuracy, a 57% takedown defense, and averages only 0.29 takedowns per 15 minutes. Notably, he hasn’t attempted a single takedown in his last three outings.

Summary:

Both fighters come in as Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS) alums, but their styles diverge significantly. Jacoby shines in striking volume and defense, boasting a strong output and positive differential. However, Lopes could flip the script with his aggressive wrestling approach. If he successfully implements his takedown game — especially against Jacoby’s takedown defense — he could dictate the pace and direction of the fight.