Jafel Filho vs Allan Nascimento

The flyweight division is set for a thrilling encounter between submission specialists Jafel Filho and Allan Nascimento. Both fighters bring a wealth of grappling expertise and a hunger to climb the rankings, promising a technical battle that could end in a blink.

Core Stats Comparison

***This analysis does not include stats from DWCS. Each athlete has 1 match in DWCS.

Striking Breakdown:

Allan Nascimento  holds the edge on the feet. He lands with 50% accuracy and defends at a sharp 62%, significantly better than Jafel Filho, who connects at just 40% accuracy and defends at 48%.

When it comes to output, both fighters are fairly even. Filho averages 2.28 significant strikes per minute, just ahead of Nascimento’s 1.25, while absorbing 1.52 compared to Nascimento’s 0.87. Both maintain a positive striking differential, but Nascimento has been more defensively sound since his UFC debut.

Grappling Breakdown:

This is where it gets compelling. While Nascimento has a slightly better takedown accuracy (44%) versus Filho’s 40%, his takedown defense is only 20%—a major red flag against an aggressive grappler like Filho.

Filho averages 1.34 takedowns per 15 minutes and leads in submission activity with a massive 3.35 submission attempts per 15 minutes compared to Nascimento’s 1.35. That’s a big gap and signals Filho’s strong offensive grappling style.

Summary:

Both fighters are submission artists: Nascimento has 15 submission wins, while Filho has 12 fights ending in submission(2 of those were losses) , which raises questions about his submission defense.

If the fight stays standing, it could be tightly contested—but if it hits the mat, expect scrambles, submission attempts, and potential finishes from both sides.