Kevin Gastelum vs Joe Pyfer

Kelvin Gastelum, a seasoned vet, takes on Joe Pyfer, an emerging contender in the middleweight division

Core Stats Comparison

*SAPM IS equal , edge goes to Gastelum for SLPM. Pyfer has edge in takedown accuracy , EDGE goes to younger fighter

Striking Breakdown:

Striking-wise, both athletes are similar. Gastelum leads in both striking accuracy (42%) and defense (57%), compared to Joe Pyfer’s 41% accuracy and 51% defense. When it comes to output, the two are nearly identical: Gastelum lands 3.74 significant strikes per minute, while Pyfer lands 3.72. Both absorb 3.48 strikes per minute, pointing to a fairly even striking exchange—though Gastelum’s better defense may give him the edge in exchanges.

Grappling Breakdown:

Stats wise, Joe Pyfer is the more active grappler. He averages 1.45 takedowns per 15 minutes and ~1 submission attempts, while Gastelum posts 1.10 takedowns and just 0.1 submission attempts. Pyfer also has a slightly higher takedown accuracy (41%) compared to Gastelum’s 34%. However, Gastelum boasts better defense at 59% vs. Pyfer’s 50%, which could help neutralize Pyfer’s wrestling if he keeps the fight standing.

Summary:

Physically, Joe Pyfer comes in with a significant size advantage—standing 6'2" with a 75-inch reach, compared to Gastelum’s 5'9", 71-inch reach. Statistically, this fight shapes up to be very competitive. Gastelum edges it in striking defense (57%) and has more UFC-level experience, while Pyfer offers a more active grappling game and the physical tools to dictate distance.

Fan/Bettor Note: If Pyfer can use his reach and grappling to control the tempo, he could take over. But if Gastelum keeps it standing and manages distance, his striking defense and experience could swing the fight in his favor.