Payton Talbott vs Felipe Lima

Payton Talbott looks to bounce back as he meets Brazil’s dynamic striker Felipe Lima at UFC 317. Talbott, a lightning-fast knockout artist aiming to recover from his first pro loss, squares off against the formidable Lima.

Core Stats Comparison

* Lima has the edge in submission average

Striking Breakdown:

Payton Talbott brings the heat with a high-output style, boasting a 55% striking accuracy and landing a massive 6.73 significant strikes per minute. However, that offense comes at the cost of defense—he only defends 44% of strikes and absorbs 3.75 per minute. Felipe Lima takes the opposite approach: more measured, with just 3.5 strikes landed per minute, but his elite 72% striking defense helps limit damage, absorbing only 2.32 strikes per minute. It’s a clear volume vs. efficiency contrast.

Grappling Breakdown:

This area leans clearly in Lima’s favor in every category. He outpaces Talbott in takedown accuracy (42% vs. 33%), takedown defense (83% vs. 75%), and submission average (1.1 vs. 0.3). Lima can take the match tot he ground a 1.71 takedown average. Talbott's recent performance exposed gaps in his ground game  and is an area Lima can exploit.

Summary:

If this fight stays standing, Talbott’s relentless volume and power could overwhelm Limaand potentially lead to bigger shots and minute winning. But Lima’s well-rounded skillset, sharp defense, and ground game give him more paths to victory. Talbott must impose his pace early, while Lima will look to stay composed, avoid damage, and exploit Talbott’s defensive lapses—especially if the fight hits the mat.